Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Battle of Aleppo a Stalingrad Moment



Liberated Aleppo and its global implications

The Battle of Aleppo is a Stalingrad moment in the war against Islamic terrorism. Syria and her allies have shown that wars against Islamic terrorism can be won, that NATO and the Saudis do not always get their way and that the world can be made safer when genuine partners cooperate against the forces of evil. 

Aleppo is almost fully free.  The Syrian Arab Army, Russia and their allies have liberated one of the most important cities in the Middle East. This represents the most historically significant event in the Middle East since 2003, when Iraq was invaded and Saddam’s regime fell. It is not yet the proverbial Battle of Berlin, but it is a Stalingrad moment for the Middle East.


2003 was the beginning of a thirteen year cycle during which hell was unleashed upon the Middle East at the hands of the main NATO powers. Strong, secular, modern regimes were invaded. Cultures were eradicated, the rights of minorities destroyed. Into this power vacuum entered Islamic terrorists, the most sophisticated of which were funded by the despotic Gulf states.
Throughout this process, Syrian remained something of a ‘last man standing’ in the Arab world. President Bashar al-Assad who many dismissed as a lightweight vis-à-vis his father, has silenced all of his critics.  In life, one rarely gets to choose the timing of the occasions to which one must rise, but in rising to this occasion, Syria’s President has struck a blow against several destructive forces.
When George Bush and Tony Blair started a fake war on terrorism they couldn’t have imagined in their wildest dreams that the REAL war on terrorism would be won by the Syrian Arab Republic and the Russian Federation. There is a kind of tragic yet poetic irony to this reality.
Syria has shown its neighbours and those further afield that it is possible to successfully win the fight against barbarous Islamic terrorism.
Syria has done so with a well-trained army of patriotic individuals fighting for their homeland. Furthermore, Syria has cultivated a genuine alliance of those who respect her sovereignty and her internal political processes. Russia, Iran, Hezbollah and to an extent China, have all aided Syria in the name of Syrian survival rather than Syrian regime change. One cannot fight terrorism whilst sympathising with terrorist aims of overturning a legitimate government, irrespective of the form that government takes.
Syria has also proved that the destructive force of the NATO powers can be resisted. America, Britain, France, Germany, Holland and Belgium have had few actual victories in the Middle East. Having the manpower and the ability to recruit terrorist proxies to destroy a country’s government and infrastructure represents something of a pyrrhic victory. When it comes to actually maintaining anything resembling a country in the aftermath of such an invasion, NATO has failed spectacularly.
In Syria they tried to destroy the country, but were stopped short of regime change. This has made resisting and ultimately winning battles against terrorist occupation possible.
John Kerry, Samantha Power and Ashton Carter have tried their hardest to manipulate the diplomatic process in Syria so as to buy time for their terrorist proxies whose shared, unilateral goal is the overthrow of the Syrian government.
But whilst Russia remained largely quiet when Iraq and Libya were being destroyed, this time a collective statement of ‘enough is enough’ emanated from the Russian Foreign Ministry. Sergey Lavrov’s steadfast leadership throughout the Syria crisis has guaranteed that the diplomatic and political booby-traps set by the West would not taint the process nor hinder the efforts of the men on the ground doing the fighting.
The political victory for Lavrov’s brand of intelligent, informed, dignified and unwavering negotiating is as critical as the military victory against the terrorist forces. With Aleppo liberated, John Kerry won’t have anything left to negotiate for. All chips are off the table. Lavrov has won, Kerry has lost.
The victory in Aleppo will also send shockwaves through the region. Attempts by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to colonise the Arab world through exporting their sinister Wahhabi ideology at gun point, has hit a brick wall. Syria has shown that for all of their money and evil intent, a well-trained army of the people backed by powerful allies can stop the Gulf tyrants who must rely on terrorist mercenaries to fight their battles as their own soldiers can barely fire their expensive American and British guns.
President Erdogan’s ambitions to re-conquer Ottoman holdings in the Arab world has also been set-back. Turkey will either have to abandon her ambitions in Syria completely or else join the constructive efforts to re-build the country on the terms set by Damascus and Moscow. The likelihood is that Erdogan will continue to shift his focus to Iraq whose comparatively weak central government is less equipped to stand up to illegal Turkish incursions into the north of the country.
Finally, for those who lack a sufficiently sound heart to celebrate the victory of secular Syria over terrorism, perhaps they will have enough of a head to realise that in halting the progress of ISIS, Al-Qaeda, the Free Syrian Army and other terrorist groups, Syria has helped make the world a safer place.
I firmly believe that someday people will look back at December 2016 and recall the heroic struggle of Syria, Russia and their other allies against Islamic terrorism. They will feel shame at how their own governments have failed to keep them safe and they’ll say, thank you President Assad and thank you President Putin for doing so.
The war is not over, Raqqa, Deir ez-Zor and other eastern regions of Syria must also be liberated.  Aleppo, whilst free, will need to be rebuilt. A great deal of work lies ahead, but the tied has sufficiently turned and a decisive blow has been struck against the forces of evil.

Rede von Donald Trump in Cincinnati/OhioSchluss mit Regime-Change! Stabilität, nicht Chaos!Von Anneliese Fikentscher und Andreas Neumann http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23343

Die Regime-Change-Praxis des US-Imperiums soll nach den Worten des neu gewählten US-Präsident Donald Trump ein Ende haben. Das brachte er am 1. Dezember 2016 bei einer in Cincinnati im US-Bundesstaat Ohio gehaltenen Rede zum Ausdruck. Wörtlich sagte er: „Leute! Wir werden eine neue US-Außenpolitik verfolgen, die endlich aus den Fehlern der Vergangenheit lernt. Wir werden mit dem Versuch aufhören, Regime zu Fall zu bringen und Regierungen zu stürzen... Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, nicht Chaos.” (“We will pursue a new foreign policy that finally learns from the mistakes of the past. We will stop looking to topple regimes and overthrow governments, folks... Our goal is stability, not chaos...”) Doch dieser Mann, der es wagt, solche für führende US-Kreise ungewöhnliche Vorstellungen zu äußern, ist selber Zielscheibe von Regime-Change-Absichten. Soros lässt grüßen. Das zeigt sich auch in der deutschen Friedensbewegung, aus der der Ruf erschallt: "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!".


Screenshot aus einer Videoaufzeichnung der Rede von Donald Trump in Cincinnati/Ohio am 1.12.2016

"RT Deutsch" berichtet am 2.12.2016 wie folgt über die Äußerungen Trumps in einer Meldung mit dem Titel „Trump: Die USA werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen" wie folgt: "Der neu gewählte US-Präsident Donald Trump hat versprochen, keine Regimes anderer Länder zu stürzen. Das erklärte er bei seinem Auftritt in der Stadt Cincinnati im US-Bundesstaat Ohio. 'Wir werden den IS vernichten. Gleichzeitig werden wir eine neue Politik betreiben, indem wir unsere vorigen Fehler endlich berücksichtigen. Wir werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen. … Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, kein Chaos. Deswegen wollen wir unser Land wiederaufbauen', so Trump.“

Die "Deutschen Wirtschafts Nachrichten" zitieren am 2.12.2016 unter dem Titel „Donald Trump kündigt neue US-Außenpolitik an – Donald Trump will der US-Praxis, Regierungen im Ausland zu stürzen, ein Ende bereiten" Trump wie folgt: "Wir werden eine nationale Anstrengung unternehmen, um unsere schwer vernachlässigte Armee neu aufzubauen. Wir haben keine Wahl. Wenn wir auf diese Welt schauen, sie ist ein Pulverfass (tinder box). Wir möchten eine starke Armee – und wir wollen sie nicht einsetzen müssen. Idealerweise werden wir sie nicht einsetzen müssen. Aber wir werden ISIS zerstören. Gleichzeitig werden wir eine neue US-Außenpolitik verfolgen, die endlich aus den Fehlern der Geschichte lernt. Wir werden mit dem Versuch aufhören, Regime zu Fall zu bringen und Regierungen zu stürzen. Erinnern Sie sich: Sechs Billionen Dollar haben wir an Kosten im Nahen Osten ausgeben. Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, nicht Chaos. Denn wir wollen unser Land aufbauen – es ist an der Zeit.“

Palästina: Frieden ist machbar

Das sind nicht die ersten ungewöhnlichen Äußerungen. Zum Thema Palästina/Israel hat Trump am 23. November 2016 im Interview mit der "New York Times" erklärt: „Gerne wäre ich derjenige, der Israel und Palästinensern Frieden bringen kann... Ich würde das sehr gut finden. Es wäre eine großartige Leistung, denn niemand war dazu bislang fähig... Einflussreiche israelische Geschäftsleute sagen mir, das sei nicht zu machen, das sei unmöglich. Ich stimme dem nicht zu. Ich glaube, Frieden ist machbar. Ich glaube, die Menschen sind es leid, erschossen und getötet zu werden... Ich habe Gründe zu glauben, dass ich es schaffen kann.“

Mit Russland gut auskommen

Und hinsichtlich der Beziehungen der USA zu Russland und hinsichtlich des Krieges in Syrien hat Trump im Interview mit der "New York Times" geäußert: „Ich möchte gern mit Russland gut auskommen und ich denke, dass auch Russland gerne mit uns gut auskommen möchte. Das ist in unserem gemeinsamen Interesse... Wäre es nicht schön, wenn wir gut mit Russland auskämen. Wäre es nicht schön, wenn wir gemeinsam gegen den Islamischen Staat vorgingen... Wir müssen dem Wahnsinn, der sich in Syrien abspielt, ein Ende setzen.“

IS: Gründung von Obama und Hillary

Und am 11. August 2016 sprach Trump im Rahmen einer Wahlkampfrede folgendes aus: „Der IS (Islamische Staat) ehrt Präsident Obama. Er ist der Gründer des IS. Er ist der Gründer des IS – okay? Er ist der Gründer! Er hat den IS gegründet! Und ich möchte sagen, Mitgründerin dürfte die betrügerische Hillary Clinton sein. Mitgründerin! Die betrügerische Hillary Clinton! Das ist es, worum es geht!“ („ISIS is honoring President Obama. He is the founder of ISIS. He is the founder of ISIS, okay? He's the founder! He founded ISIS! And I would say, the co-founder would be crooked Hillary Clinton. Co-founder! Crooked Hillary Clinton! And that's what it's about!”)

Solch ein Mann, der sich derart ungewöhnlich äußert, wird zur Zielscheibe. Ein Mann, der erklärt, Frieden in Palästina schaffen zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, der erklärt, mit Russland gut auskommen zu wollen und den Krieg in Syrien beenden zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, der erklärt, die Regime-Change-Praxis der USA beenden zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, die in Sachen IS Klartext redet, soll gestoppt werden. Der Mann, der die Regime-Change-Praxis beenden will, soll selber per Regime-Change beseitigt werden.

Eine neue Form von Querfront entsteht

Und diese gegen Donald Trump gerichteten Regime-Change-Absichten, wie sie sich in einem George Soros und seinen Farbrevolutionen verkörpern, werden getragen von den Herrschaftsmedien – im Verbund mit Kräften in der Friedensbewegung. Das sieht ganz nach einer neuen Form von Querfront aus, wie sie sich bereits 2014 bei den Attacken gegen die so genannte "Neue Friedensbewegung" gezeigt hat. Was können die Kräfte in der Friedensbewegung damit bewirken wollen? Wenn Donald Trump tatsächlich am 20. Januar 2017 als nächster US-Präsident vereidigt werden sollte, wenn alle Versuche, dies im Vorfeld zu verhindern, scheitern sollten, und dann tatsächlich am Tage der Vereidigung zusammen mit Regime-Change-Kräften in den USA in Berlin am Brandenburger Tor unter dem Motto "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!" demonstriert werden sollte, stellt sich die Frage: wofür? Für Clinton? Allein die Ankündigung einer solchen Demonstration trägt dazu bei, in Deutschland in einem "linken" Spektrum den Boden zu bereiten für die Akzeptanz, wenn Trump auf die eine oder andere Weise aus dem Weg geräumt werden sollte.

Konfrontiert mit Kritik an der Anti-Trump-Demonstration, reagiert einer ihrer Initiatoren allergisch. Man solle sich doch nicht den Unsinn einreden lassen, dass dieser Kerl Trump irgendetwas mit Frieden zu tun habe, und spricht von einem Milliardärskriegskabinett, ohne darzulegen, dass US-Präsidenten generell Milliardärsinteressen vertreten, und ohne daran zu erinnern, dass Linke und Friedensbewegung sich im Fall Obama ganz anders verhalten haben. Eine Demonstration gegen einen der größten Kriegspropagandisten unter dem Motto "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Obama stoppen!" hat es bei dessen Vereidigung nicht gegeben – selbst am Beginn seiner zweiten Amtsperiode nicht, als schon klar war, dass sich hinter seinen schönen hohlen Worten nur deren Gegenteil verbarg: Mord über Mord und Krieg über Krieg.

Antiamerikanismus kommt in Mode

Es bleibt die Frage: was ist mit Donald Trump so anders, dass sogar überwiegende Teile der Herrschaftsmedien gegen ihn Front machen? Woher rührt diese Welle von "Antiamerikanismus" – insbesondere unten denen, für die bislang "Antiamerikanismus" ein Kampfbegriff war, mit dem Kritik an den USA abgewehrt werden sollte? Wolfgang Effenberger erklärt es wie folgt: „Das Prinzip 'Gruppe Clinton' lautet: 'Was gut für General Motors ist, ist gut für die USA.' Dagegen hat das Prinzip der 'Gruppe Trump' eine kleine aber wichtige Ergänzung: 'Was gut für General Motors ist, ist gut für die USA nur dann, wenn General Motors in den USA produziert und in den USA Steuern zahlt.' Trump, gut integriert in die US-Eliten, ist also Teil eines Systems, welches untereinander einen äußerst harten inneren Kampf zwischen den kapitalistischen Nationalisten und den kapitalistischen Internationalisten führt, deren Interessen, Ziele und Visionen nicht kompatibel sind.“

Es zeigt sich: die Herrschaftsmedien wie SPIEGEL, ZEIT, TAZ etc. sind der verlängerte Arm der kapitalistischen Internationalisten. Soll das, was den Herrschaftsmedien – Clinton als US-Präsidentin zu installieren – nicht gelungen ist, jetzt die Aufgabe der Linken und der Friedensbewegung sein?


Quellen:

Meldung von RT Deutsch vom 02.12.2016
Trump: Die USA werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen
https://deutsch.rt.com/newsticker/43842-trump-usa-werden-keine-regimes/

Meldung der Deutschen Wirtschafts Nachrichten vom 02.12.2016
Donald Trump kündigt neue US-Außenpolitik an
Donald Trump will der US-Praxis, Regierungen im Ausland zu stürzen, ein Ende bereiten
https://deutsche-wirtschafts-nachrichten.de/2016/12/02/donald-trump-kuendigt-neue-us-aussenpolitik-an/

Videoaufzeichnung der Rede von Donald Trump vom 01.12.2016 in Cincinnati/Ohio
CBS News: Donald Trump holds victory rally in Cincinnati
President-elect Donald Trump holds his first public event since his election night address
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPMgPlj3G08

Washington Examiner an 01.12.2016
Trump's new foreign policy: 'We will stop looking to topple regimes'
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trumps-new-foreign-policy-we-will-stop-looking-to-topple-regimes/article/2608687

Russia Today am 02.12.2016
'New era of peace': Trump vows to stop US toppling of regimes during 1st stop of 'Thank You' tour
https://www.rt.com/usa/368951-trump-us-toppling-regimes-isis/

NRhZ 590 vom 30.11.2016
Interview der "New York Times" mit Donald Trump
„Gerne wäre ich derjenige, der Israel und Palästina Frieden bringen kann“
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23326

Videoaufzeichnung von USA TODAY vom 11.08.2016
Trump: Obama, Clinton co-founded ISIS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCHuZM_9qTk

Daily Mail am 01.08.2016
'He is the founder of ISIS': Trump repeatedly claims Obama is to blame for creating the terror group and calls Hillary its 'co-founder'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3734124/He-founded-ISIS-Trump-claims-Obama-deserves-credit-creating-Middle-Eastern-terror-army-names-crooked-Hillary-founder.html

Tagesanzeiger vom 11.08.2016
Trump bezeichnet Obama als Gründer des IS
Während einer Rede in Florida liess sich Donald Trump erneut zu unbedachten Äusserungen hinreissen. Dieses Mal nahm er den US-Präsidenten ins Visier.
http://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/ausland/amerika/Trump-bezeichnet-Obama-als-Gruender-des-IS/story/16598936

NRhZ 583 vom 12.10.2016
Eine Betrachtung gegen die Orientierungslosigkeit
Ein Hoch auf unsere Herrschaftsmedien (II)
Von Anneliese Fikentscher und Andreas Neumann
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23189

NRhZ 590 vom 30.11.2016
Donald J. Trump
Hoffnungsträger oder Zeitbombe?
Von Wolfgang Effenberger
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23340


Siehe auch:

Stellungnahme zum Aufruf "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!“
Warum ich den Aufruf nicht unterstütze
Von Doris Pumphrey
NRhZ 591 vom 07.12.2016
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23346

Online-Flyer Nr. 591  vom 07.12.2016
Druckversion     
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23343

Russia-Europe Relationship: On the Threshold of New Era


Russia-Europe Relationship: On the Threshold of New Era
ALEX GORKA | 07.12.2016 | WORLD



Matteo Renzi resigned as the Italian Prime Minister after the people of Italy voted «no» in a historic referendum on constitutional reform on December 4. The vote results triggered a shock wave across Europe much like Brexit. It’s up to Italian President Sergio Mattarella now to decide what will happen next – an appointment of new prime minister supported by parliamentary majority or a snap election, paving the way for an anti-euro party, the 5-Star Movement, to come to power.
This political force is the biggest winner. The party wants to abandon the EU budget strictures and has said it might favor printing a parallel currency. Another popular party – the Northern League – also opposes the eurozone membership. Actually, the opponents of the reform voted against the EU. An Italian «mini Brexit» becomes a possibility. Both - the 5-Star Movement and the Northern League – call for better relations with Russia. They want the anti-Russia sanctions to be lifted.
The resignation of Mr. Renzi is a heavy blow to the EU already facing multiple crises and struggling to fend off an attack of anti-establishment forces, which are clearly on the rise in Europe. German Chancellor Angela Merkel – the unofficial European leader – is also vulnerable seeking a fourth term in 2017.
Europe is facing a prolonged period of political upheaval, with elections also slated for 2017 in Germany, France the Netherlands and, probably, Italy – all countries where economic anxiety, opposition to the EU and a surge in migration have fed growing support for populist parties. The established order is in retreat everywhere in Europe, except Austria.
Far-right leader Norbert Hofer of the anti-immigration Freedom Party was defeated on December 4 by independent candidate Alexander van der Bellen, a former Greens leader, becoming «a pro-European president of Austria open to the world.» But it was the vote when all Austrian political forces joined together against the Freedom Party’s candidate. It was «all against one» but the result was a close call.
From Moscow’s perspective, any outcome was a step forward to bolster the forces willing to improve the relations between Russia and the EU. Mr. Hofer said he wanted to recognize Crimea as part of Russia. But both candidates stood for the improvement of bilateral relations with Moscow and supported the idea of lifting the anti-Russia sanctions to mirror the popular sentiment. After all, Austria was the only EU member state Russian President Vladimir Putin visited after the Western sanctions were imposed.
At his 45, Hofer is a promising politician. Only a year ago he was the second person in the leadership of the main opposition party and a vice-speaker of the parliament. Today he is the man who was close to becoming president. All other parties of the country had to unite preventing him from winning the presidential race. That’s very indicative.
Austria will hold a parliamentary election next September. The Freedom Party has a good chance to win an outright majority of seats.
The trend is visible. The Euro-Atlantic establishment suffers one defeat after another. It started with Brexit, followed by Trump’s victory and election results in several European countries. Renzi’s setback is a good example. The Eurosceptics won in Italy and lost in Austria but Hofer’s Freedom Party is still going strong.
Brussels has each and every reason to be concerned over its future. Anti-EU forces are expected to greatly improve their positions. With Donald Trump as US President, the pro-European integration forces face big problems. Trying to hold Eurosceptics at bay, the establishment forces will willy-nilly have to shift their policies towards national interests, a lesser role for the EU and its supranational structures.
It is taking place against the background of new alliances emerging within the EU, like «Alliance of Europe’s South» or the «mini-Schengen» in addition to the already established and functioning Visegrad Group, which has its own vision of the European integration.
With Donald Trump’s priority to «America First», the EU faces the need to take care of its own security which cannot be guaranteed without normalizing the relations with Moscow. Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission, believes that Europe should adopt its own policy towards Russia, which would not be influenced by the US. The president has said he «would like to have an agreement with Russia that goes beyond the ordinary framework, bearing in mind that without Russia, there is no security architecture in Europe». Mr. Juncker believes that «Russia must be treated as one big entity, as a proud nation».
In mid-November, Bulgaria and Moldova voted for leaders who called for lifting the sanctions and improving the relations with Moscow.
Western big business has started to re-invest in Russia. They would never risk doing it not being sure the investments were to pay off.
NATO «continues to strive for more constructive relations with Russia», NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said at a press conference on December 5 ahead of a meeting of the NATO countries’ foreign ministers. The date of the next NATO-Russia Council meeting is being discussed. More than a dozen European countries have recently expressed willingness to engage in dialogue with Russia toward reaching an arms control deal.
The calls to lift the sanctions and improve the relationship with Moscow are growing stronger. The EU has started turning toward Russia. The trend is becoming increasingly apparent. The recent events clearly demonstrate that Russia and Europe are on the threshold of a new era in the history of their relationship.

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Sheik Imran Hosein about Donald Trump elected US president



The Essential Saker: from the trenches of the emerging multipolar world

$27.95

5 policies Trump should adopt in the Middle East – both for Russia and Americans back home


Martin Jay is a veteran foreign correspondent now based in Beirut who works on a freelance basis for a number of respected British newspapers as well as Deutsche Welle TV. Previously he has worked in Africa and Europe for CNN, Euronews, CNBC, BBC and Reuters. Follow him on Twitter @MartinRJay
President-elect Donald Trump © Jonathan Ernst
Donald Trump’s backpedaling on election promises has led some to worry improved relations with Russia and Putin may never materialize. One area where he cannot afford to clash with Putin is the Middle East. Here’s what Trump should do in Syria and Russia.
As Donald Trump appears to be monumentally backpedaling on his own election promises, is there a risk that he is about to become a threat to both Russia and, consequently, the Middle East? His three main promises – to prosecute Hillary Clinton, build a “wall” on the US-Mexican border, and scrap President Obama’s healthcare plan – all seem to have been dramatically scaled down, according to US talk show “60 Minutes Face the Nation.” Even his promise to deport “millions” of undocumented immigrants has now been watered down to possibly jailing up to two million criminals, prompting some US media outlets like Vice to even publish a list of policy pledges that Trump appears to be backing out of.
But there’s a more serious point here. Some might ask, if he cannot be taken seriously on key issues in his own backyard, then should his pro-Putin speeches also be taken with a pinch of salt? Even his most vociferous supporters would admit that foreign policy is not his forte, as he seems bewildered by the Middle East. With Moscow, his rhetoric has always been encouraging, but if there is backpedaling now, and Russia and the US slip back into their Cold War stances, then the Middle East is inevitably going to feel the heat.
Here’s five key policy decisions that the president-elect should make in the coming weeks that would both affirm his commitment to working with Putin as a geopolitical ally and score him important points in the Arab world and back home – not to mention relegate the EU to a poor third place position in the superpower rankings.
Talk about a new plan to smash ISIS [Islamic State, formerly ISIL] with Putin. This has to be high on the agenda, as not only would it back up his own statements about how the US has made the mistake by backing Sunni opposition fighters in Syria (who are too close to ISIS for comfort), but would also send a clear message to the Gulf Arab states: ISIS has to be destroyed, and you need to stop funding opposition groups that take away valuable time and resources from the Syrian army and its allies that are fighting them on the ground. There are also other reasons why Trump should be part of a plan with Russia to wipe out the terrorist organization: He needs to show them that he is not a soft touch, as they believe, and that any bombing that they may be planning in the US is entirely unacceptable and will be matched with payback. America needs to take a ‘common sense’ approach to Syria, and Trump could lead this transition by dropping Washington’s obsession with regime change and just focus on eliminating ISIS.
Meet with Assad. It’s a long shot, but he should consider it nonetheless. Trump needs to show that he is smart and rise above the stupidity of Obama’s churlish handling of the Assad file and his obsession with regime change. While the president-elect is not a fan of the Syrian leader, he has stated that he prefers him in power in Syria to terrorist groups. Meeting the Syrian leader would set an entirely new agenda for the US in the region: pragmatism. The US needs to show the region that a new realistic, pragmatic approach to foreign policy is about to unfold there, and that working with Assad and Russia is the way forward for American interests, even if this means upsetting the Saudis, who are still dreaming of a Syria without Assad and are less sanguine about the future. Trump meeting Assad would create a new premise that the Cold War is over and that US foreign policy in the region should take a third way now, which is based on a much more intelligent and less polarized approach to handling both Tehran and Riyadh.
But there is also political capital that Trump can win back home in his first 100 days in office, which his own Middle East advisors might have missed.
Assure Turkey that the US will not allow the Kurds to create a Kurdish state. Much was spoken about supporting the Kurds by Hillary Clinton regarding ammunition and money and cranking up the whole relationship. But there need to be some lines drawn. The Kurds want to capitalize on their victories in Iraq and Syria and make no secret about craving for their own Kurdish state. If Trump is serious about supporting the one NATO member in the mix – Turkey – then he should assure President Erdogan that a Kurdish state is not on the cards. Why resolve one war in Syria by merely starting another one? Turkey will not accept the Kurds building a zone of any sort which could allow the PKK and other groups a base to attack its southern flank. Last week, Trump’s Vice President-elect Mike Pence, and Kurdish President Masoud Barzani met in Erbil to discuss Trump’s future support for them in the fight against ISIS, but supporting the Kurds in their dream could backfire horribly on the Trump administration.
Assure the Saudis and Iranians that the Iran Deal stands. It makes no sense whatsoever now to undo what the Obama regime did simply for point scoring. Even the Saudis are now saying that the US had better not back out of the deal, as the implications are too grave. No one wants Iran to develop nuclear weapons and the Saudis seem to have come to terms with a scenario that ushers them away from such ambitions in exchange for economic opportunities – a move, which, incidentally has spurred a new mind set in Riyadh calling for Saudi Arabia’s economy to be entirely restructured, so as to move away from oil dependency. Indeed, outgoing CIA Director John Brennan has said that it would be the “height of folly” for US President-elect Donald Trump to tear up Washington’s deal with Tehran, because it would make it more likely that Iran and others would acquire nuclear weapons. However, “Folly” is an apt word that could be applied to Trump’s first 100 days in office if he doesn’t stick to some of his promises – an oddity in itself, which is leading a cavalcade of respected critics like academic Noam Chomsky to condemn him, saying “he has no [political] ideology… it’s only himself.”
Stop the senseless bombing of Yemen by Saudi Arabia and its allies. Trump could step forward here and give the Saudis the pretext to swallow their pride and halt the campaign – which serves no real purpose and has sucked them into a hopeless situation which their pride won’t release them from it. The war in Yemen is complicated and involves many players, including ISIS and Al-Qaeda along with the Houthis who, contrary to Western media and Saudi reports, are not actually fully backed by Iran in quite the way Riyadh believes they are. Trump could seek guarantees from the Houthis that if his Middle East experts got an agreement from the Saudi-backed government in Aden that all hostilities against them would stop, then both sides could turn their firepower toward the real threat: ISIS and Al-Qaeda. Some would argue that the government in Aden is not exactly an enemy of these extremist groups, but the bombing of Houthis has to stop, if for no other reason that it threatens longer term stability with Iran and the strategic Straits of Bab-el-Mandeb, the ocean trade route which links the Mediterranean and Asia.
Follow Martin Jay on Twitter @MartinRJay
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT. https://www.rt.com/op-edge/369222-trump-foreign-policy-middle-east-syria/